Nets vs. Heat NBA expert prediction and odds for Thursday, Nov. 15 (Back Brooklyn)

The Brooklyn Nets are on the road on Thursday night to take on the Miami Heat and Jimmy Butler at Kaseya Center.

This is a good test for a Brooklyn team that is expected to be without Ben Simmons and Cam Thomas on Thursday. The Nets have been an elite team against the spread this season, but can bettors trust them as road dogs tonight?

I think so, but there are more reasons than simply Brooklyn’s solid record (from a betting perspective to start this season).

We’re going to dive into the key players, injuries, and more for this matchup to make our pick.

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Nets vs. Heat odds, spread and total

Nets vs. Heat how to watch

• Date: Thursday, Nov. 16
• Game Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
• Venue: Kaseya Center
• How to Watch (TV): NBA TV
• Nets Record: 6-5
• Heat Record: 7-4

Nets vs. Heat injury reports

Miami Heat injury report

• Tyler Herro – out
• Jamal Cain – out
• R.J. Hampton – out
• Kevin Love – available
• Caleb Martin – available
• Dru Smith – available
• Josh Richardson – available

Brooklyn Nets injury report

• Ben Simmons – out
• Cam Thomas – out
• Armoni Brooks – out
• Dariq Whitehead – out
• Jalen Wilson – out
• Noah Clowney – out
• Keon Johnson – out

Nets vs. Heat key players to watch

Brooklyn Nets

Mikal Bridges: With Thomas out, this offense is Bridges’ to command. After having a great stretch with the Nets last year after the trade deadline, Bridges is averaging 20.3 points per game this season but shooting less than 30.0 percent from 3. The team needs him to pick it up in that department to truly contend for a playoff spot.

Miami Heat

Caleb Martin: Last season’s playoff hero, Martin was injured in Miami’s season opener against Detroit and has not played since. He will look to get back into the flow of things for the Heat, who will certainly be glad to have him back on both ends of the floor.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Jaquez is looking like one of the early steals of the draft, and he’s taken on a significant role with Herro out.

It’s possible that Martin’s return cuts into his minutes a bit, but Jaquez looks like a rotation piece for Miami at the very minimum.

Nets vs. Heat prediction and pick

There isn’t a team in the NBA better against the spread this season than the Nets, as they are 9-1-1 ATS through their first 11 games.

Even with Simmons and Thomas out tonight, I wouldn’t be shocked to see Brooklyn at least cover in this matchup.

Miami has struggled as a home favorite – going 0-4 against the spread – and the team is going to be down a key offensive player in Herro in this game.

While rookie Jaime Jaquez Jr. has played well and Caleb Martin is back, I am not sold on Miami’s offense, which ranks just 23rd in the league.

The Nets still have key players like Mikal Bridges, Cameron Johnson, Nic Claxton, and Spencer Dinwiddie active, so I think the team’s rotation will be deep enough to compete in this game. While Miami has been a great team in terms of winning games – especially in the playoffs – in recent seasons, the team is just 14-30-2 ATS as a home favorite dating back to the start of last season.

Take the points with Brooklyn tonight.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.